September 20, 2018

We live in a warming world. And we often characterize that warming through metrics of temperature. But that’s only a sliver of the story. Another sliver, and perhaps a more consequential one, is Big Rain.

January 26, 2018

La Niña usually means a drier than average water year for California. So what happened in 2016-2017 when a weak La Niña coincided with a remarkably wet water year?

October 5, 2017

Drought emerged quickly in the Northern Plains this past summer. How does that fit with the bigger picture of what we know about drought and climate?

SST anomalies in June 2017 (rotator)
July 13, 2017

Our newest ENSO blogger provides the latest scoop on what is going on with ENSO.  

March 22, 2017

Now that the 2016-2017 winter is over with, it's time to look back and see what happened. Did our winter outlook do well?

image of a diver placing a CTD sensor on a reef
May 27, 2016

It's been a tough year for the globe's coral and the scientists who use coral to paint a picture of ENSO back thousands of years. 

September 24, 2015

El Niño is a global phenomenon. Guest blogger Dr. Andrew Watkins shines some light on El Niño's impact across the world in Australia.

June 25, 2015

...but it's still a seasonal forecaster's best friend.

January 16, 2015

Blogger Tom Di Liberto explains the math behind some of the tests that seasonal forecasters use to check forecast skill, and then shows how skillful the past decade's winter forecasts have been.

November 26, 2014

An El Niño means lots of rain for California, correct? Well, some of the time, but not always.

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