Climate outlooks are different from weather forecasts, and its easy to misunderstand what the maps are telling us.
How well did the 2021-2022 Winter outlook do? Pretty well if you ask me! Chalk up another year in a track record of outlooks performing better than random chance.
Comparing the groundhog‘s shadow to U.S. national temperature observations, Punxsutawney Phil has been right five years over 2011–2010. As for 2021, only time will tell.