The September 2023 ENSO Outlook predicts El Niño will stick around at least through January-March 2024. But don't just take it from us, hear directly from the Pacific Ocean and tropical atmosphere, who join the blog to answer some questions.
More often than not, La Niña brings dry winters to the U.S. Southwest. Was there something unusual about our current La Niña that would explain why the area got soaked instead?
Atmospheric rivers take a chunk out of California drought
January 25, 2023
No, your eyes are not deceiving you. The latest ENSO Outlook does in fact favor the end of La Niña with a slightly over 80% chance that ENSO-Neutral conditions will reign supreme by springtime. For more on that and another look at how daily temperatures vary during winter, click below.
The January 2023 climate outlook favors a wetter-than-average start to the new year for the western US, northern Plains, Great Lakes and Tennessee Valley, and a warmer-than-average month for the central and eastern United States.
The December 2022 climate outlook favors a colder-than-average month across the northern US, and a warmer-than-average month across the southern US. Meanwhile, odds are tilted towards a wetter-than-average December for the West and Ohio and Tennessee Valleys.
The November 2022 climate outlook favors a warmer- and drier-than-average month for the eastern United States and a cooler- and wetter-than-average month for the Northwest.
It's October. So in addition to talk of ghouls and goblins, we must chat about the October 2022 climate outlook. The outlook favors a hotter-than-average month for the western and central United States, and a colder- and wetter-than-average month for the Mid-Atlantic.