The 2015-2016 El Niño will go down as one of the strongest on record, and also, thanks to El Niño Rapid Response Campaign, one of the best observed.
El Niño is a global phenomenon. Guest blogger Dr. Andrew Watkins shines some light on El Niño's impact across the world in Australia.
“El Niño is Strong!” “No, it’s Moderate!” “But the [insert your favorite ENSO indicator here] is the largest it’s been since the El Niño of 1997-98!”
...but it's still a seasonal forecaster's best friend.
There’s a very high probability that El Niño will continue through the fall and early winter, and it could become a strong event.
Everyone's asking if the arrival of El Niño guarantees that 2015 will set a new record for warmest global temperature. In his latest blog, Deke Arndt explains why it's possible--maybe even likely--but not guaranteed.
Why is it so difficult to make a good ENSO prediction during the Northern Hemisphere spring?
ENSO is a complicated thing to model. What are the challenges, and how can we overcome them?
Guest blogger Dennis Hartmann makes the case that warm waters in the western tropical Pacific—part of the North Pacific Mode climate pattern—are behind the weird U.S. winter weather of the past two seasons.
How do we verify forecasts that use probabilities? Read on to find out.