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File: ENSOblog_NMME_plume_graph_20210907_large.png

Graph of model emsemble forecasts for Pacific temperatures in late 2021 and early 2022

Image caption

Climate model forecasts for the Niño3.4 Index. Dynamical model data (black line) from the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME): darker gray envelope shows the range of 68% of all model forecasts; lighter gray shows the range of 95% of all model forecasts. NOAA Climate.gov image from University of Miami data.