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File: CPCoff_ENSOprobs_012023.png

Bar graph showing January ENSO outlook probabilities. Blues high in beginning then decreasing thereafter refer to La Nina probabilities. Gray are ENSO-neutral probabilities which become highest in spring 2023. Reds indicate El Nino probabilities which increase during summer 2023.

Image caption

NOAA Climate Prediction Center forecast for each of the three possible ENSO categories for the next 8 overlapping 3-month seasons. Blue bars show the chances of La Niña, gray bars the chances for neutral, and red bars the chances for El Niño. Graph by Michelle L'Heureux.