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(left) The winter temperature outcome forecasters considered most likely back in mid-November 2022: red where a much warmer than average winter was favored, blue where a much colder than average winter was favored, and white where a warmer, cooler, or near-average winter were all equally likely. (right) The observed temperatures for December 2022-February 2023. Maps by NOAA Climate.gov, based on data from the Climate Prediction Center.