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File: ENSO-blog_NMME-plume-graph_202307_1860px.png

Graph showing July 2023 NMME forecasts for El Niño

Image caption

July 2023 climate model forecasts for the Niño-3.4 temperature anomaly in 2023 from the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME). The black line shows the model forecast average; darker gray envelope shows the range of 68% of all model forecasts; lighter gray shows the range of 95% of all model forecasts. NOAA Climate.gov image based on a graph from Emily Becker.