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File: ENSO-blog_NMME-plume-graph_sep23.png

File name: ENSO-blog_NMME-plume-graph_sep23.png
Original Resolution (pixels): 2000 × 1032
File Size: 124 KB (MIME Type: image/png)
Alternate Text: Line graph of NMME model forecasts for ENSO for the September 2023 outlook. Black line is surrounded by a gray and light gray color indicating the spread. Forecast is for El Nino through winter 2023-2024.
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Line graph of NMME model forecasts for ENSO for the September 2023 outlook. Black line is surrounded by a gray and light gray color indicating the spread. Forecast is for El Nino through winter 2023-2024.

Image caption

September 2023 climate model forecasts for the Niño-3.4 temperature anomaly in 2023-24 from the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME). The black line shows the model forecast average; darker gray envelope shows the range of 68% of all model forecasts; lighter gray shows the range of 95% of all model forecasts. NOAA Climate.gov image based on a graph from Emily Becker.