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File: Fig1_DJF2324_precip

Fig1_Mar24_ENSOBlog

Image caption

(left to right) The precipitation difference from average for this past winter (Dec-Feb 2023-24) and the geographic pattern of precipitation we'd expect for this past winter based on past El Niño winters from 1952-2022. The precipitation pattern for this past winter is a reasonably good match to the El Niño pattern. NOAA Climate.gov image, based on analysis by Nat Johnson.