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File: cpc-official-ENSO-February2025.png

bar chart of the probabilities of La Niña, El Niño, and neutral ENSO

Image caption

Out of the three climate possibilities—La Niña, El Niño, and neutral—forecasts say that ENSO-neutral conditions are most likely for the February–April period (gray bar). Looking out to the Northern Hemisphere fall, neutral and La Niña (blue bar) are neck-and-neck, with the odds of El Niño (red bar) about 1-in-5. NOAA Climate Prediction Center image.