The September 2023 ENSO Outlook predicts El Niño will stick around at least through January-March 2024. But don't just take it from us, hear directly from the Pacific Ocean and tropical atmosphere, who join the blog to answer some questions.
Out of the 29 Northern Hemisphere summers that led up to a winter El Niño, how many were hot versus cold? Wet versus dry? These maps are a global climate scorecard for the influence of El Niño on June-August climate.
The chance that El Niño will continue through the winter is greater than 95%. What's behind the forecast? And what could El Niño mean for global temperatures?
El Niño conditions are present and expected to continue into the winter. Our blogger discusses the thinking behind the forecast, including the possibility of a strong El Niño event.
At the ENSO Blog, we often mention the North American Multi-Model Ensemble. Here's your formal introduction to the NMME!
The warm phase of Earth's most powerful natural climate pattern appears to be on its way.
Things are heating up in the tropical Pacific! Our blogger explains how this might be a sign that El Niño is right around the corner.
It’s springtime! Here’s why ENSO forecasters would rather skip the forecast even when a potentially significant El Niño appears to be developing.