Improved climate models enhance tropical cyclone predictions

Aerial view of a tropical cyclone. Credit: Pixabay

Improving predictions of sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the tropical North Atlantic allows for better forecasting of tropical cyclones. A new study published in Science Advances reveals how high-resolution climate models have improved SST prediction accuracy. These models better represent patterns of temperature changes across the Atlantic and the interactions between wind, evaporation, and sea temperature. Improvements in how the models simulate surface wind responses to SST changes was key to enhancing prediction skills.