We can have record-setting blizzards and global warming at the same time. NOAA scientists explain climate variability, how it influenced our weather this winter, and how it differs from climate change.
October 2024 is likely to be one of the driest months ever recorded for the country. Will these dry conditions persist into November or will autumn precipitation make a return to portions of the country?
The highest odds for a much warmer than normal and much drier than normal October are across the western and central parts of the country.
The highest odds for a much warmer than normal September are in the central West and southern Florida. The highest odds for a much drier than normal September are in the Upper Midwest.
Warmer-than-normal conditions are favored across the U.S. for the last month of meteorological summer. Rain in the East could alleviate drought.
Across the United States, only Alaska has higher-than-average odds of a cool July. Elsewhere, July is favored to be much warmer than average. That heat forecast plays a big role in expectations for significant drought expansion this month.
June marks the start of meteorological summer, and warmer-than-normal temperatures are in store for much of the country. How will this early summer warmth impact precipitation patterns and drought conditions?
For much of the United States, the climate isn't tipping its hand as to whether May temperature and precipitation will be above, below, or near average.
The forecast for April leans mostly warm and wet, with good news for drought in the Central Plains.
Warm and dry or cold and wet? NOAA's monthly climate outlook lays out the odds.