Thanks for the response. Michelle, when you say you can predict ENSO several seasons in advance, I’m presuming you mean more than two 3-month seasons or say 9-12 months ahead. Your 6 month and 2 month examples wouldn’t speak to whether predictions are accurate several seasons in advance. So to give you an example of a poor prediction let’s go back to January of 2017 and see what the forecast was for November 2017. Was the La Nina foreseen several seasons in advance? By the way, is there a way I can bring up archived forecasts?