I live in Morocco, in the north west of africa. I can say that my country is directly and severly impacted by el nino/nina. after 3 years of observing this impact i can confirme that: el nino = Warm and very dry la nina = Cold and Wet this season exactly when Nino3.4 SST index become positive in january the weather had changed from wet in December (whene there was la nina) to a very dry weather in January. The CFSv2 SST forecast anomalies indicates a positive value this fist half of 2017. So i predict drought this year I HATE EL NINO