Weather has been escalating about 5 to 15 percent each or every two or three years for the past 25 years but has been in transition about 50 years where it has worsened but more so in the past 25 years. I am not saying it has gotten so bad that it is not predictable but it is more likely to be outside prediction ranges than before but for the reason weather forcasters has extended the range and improved accuracy, not because they have improved but becasue they have opened their eyes and see longer, even with improved technology but i say it is intuitiveness. Weather prediction has either gotten more scientific and accurate or it has become more predictable so that accuracy is more probable. Weather has gotten bigger, badder and more of it and so has disaster events on a larger scale. I think the solar collection magnitude is also causing some of this. It is taking away solar introductions and not allowing the solar introductions do their job of vetting weather so it can mediate a more predictable ability. Long range prediction is more common place but so is weather being more predictable in the long run, Why I question weather prediction accuracy or weather patterns being more probable toward accuracy. It says May is the all time high for global temperature surplus, oceans are warmer but so is landsites even if covered with ice and snow. A few years ago a mountain slope in Alaska slipped of its crown, about 25 miles of it and the USGS person who had the duty to talk about this said, "what we don't understand about it is it did not melt from the top down, it melted from the bottom up and it has happened in other parts of the ice covered regions. Why the land temperatures are rising, Due to warm-up of lands without any shade on it, farm landnot growing anything in the winter time. Why the oceans are warming up? Due to total atmospheric range and content, it is more dense, deeper than ever so it collects more solar energy so solar energy range is also out of sequence with all the biomass and release of microscopic material that has a lighter specific gravity than air so our upper atmosphere is also growing at alarming rates into our upper atmosphere.range. Sun light moves in a straight line, but total earth atmosphere dimension has grown more in the past 25 years than in all time. Why? Because of the thrust and movement of energy of items going out of and returning into it, pull on exit and splash on reentry has change it, mostly enlarged it substantially, not with aerosl of air but with aerosols of items lighter and less specific gravity than air and water vapors.