If there is a weak El Nino in 2014/15, as predicted, there is no particular predictable effect on precipitation in the the piedmont portion of North Carolina during winter. To the west there would be a tilt of the odds toward below normal precipitation, while to the east (and south) there would be slightly enhanced probability for above normal. As for temperature, there would likewise be no strong expected preference for anomalies in central North Carolina, although not far to the south there would be an expectation of slightly below normal temperature (and slightly above normal precipitation). So we don't expect a repetition of the severe winter of one year ago.