RE: weather forcast for this winter
I can understand why EC (Equal Chances) is a frustrating forecast. However, there are times when there is very little model agreement or no clear preceding climate patterns in certain regions of the country. In those regions, we feel that we should not mislead folks into thinking there is a useful forecast to be made. If the answer is "we don't know," we should be honest and say we don't know which category is favored. It is also frustrating for CPC forecasters... they very much would LIKE to see model agrement and a clear climate pattern (like a stronger El Nino) that provides better ability to forecast over many regions of the country. But there are times when it is not in the cards.
In the meantime (when we're not making forecasts), many of us develop models and work on applied research projects that we hope will give us a better climate outlooks in the future.