The winter outlook is the period from December-February, so despite the cold weather as of late, we still haven't yet entered into the period we are forecasting.  As for CPC's verification statistics, we recommend you check out these webpages so you can see how good (or bad) the outlooks are:

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/verification/summary/

http://www.vwt.ncep.noaa.gov

While we don't use moon cycles and wands because they are not discussed in the peer reviewed climate literature, we would not want to dissuade those who would prefer using these methods for prediction.