Well I for one appreciate the guidance, which is all it is, same thing with economic forecasts. Its a guidance and weather and micro climates are all over the place, rarely is the temp/precip avg, its either above or below the line, you can't forecast short cycles of extreme weather which is really what our weather is. Look at where you live, the history of the weather, what local weather offices say and go from there. Doesn't mean we won't get some strong blocking high that will throw all the forecasts out the window.