Yes, in 2015 we had a near-El Nino during 2014-15, so it was off to a good start even before the current El Nino got going in earnest. And in 1987, there actually was an El Nino in 1986-87, so it has an even better head start. There will be a blog coming out at the end of this week talking about the chances of a La Nina on the heels of El Nino events like this one. It turns out there is an increased chance for it compared with the expectation if we had no El Nino this year, but it is by no means guaranteed. We'll have a better idea of whether or not a La Nina may materialized as we move into the late spring, when the models become more accurate predicting the rest of the year. Remember the spring "predictability barrier".