It dawns on me, after my first message was inadvertently sent too early, that you are talking about waters WEST of BAJA, and I am talking about waters EAST of BAJA, in the Sea of Cortez (they should really rename that sea, given the nasty behavior of Cortez on the indigenous peoples. I also wanted to note, that, at his time, I have no model for the weather patterns given this anomaly, but I am studying the matter, and am sure that a predictable pattern can be discerned from the data generated by the careful, thorough weather service this country operates, despite their rather dubious claim that El Nino does NOT affect US weather directly. When they say that, I point to this. The extreme temps in Ariz, NM, Southern Cal, and Eastern Oregon, and Washington State, wile the Northern portions might be an indirect effect, the Ariz, and NM high temps are almost certainly the direct result of over-heated water in the Gulf of Cortez as a result of ENSO. What confuses me is the low pressure and monsoons in India. Aren't they supposed to stop when ENSO starts up? It is good that they are continuing, as Indian agriculture depends on the monsoons. No Monsoon, no Dewali.