Too early to call it a bust given that the higher chances for precipitation are not until the core winter months.  Best chances are January-March.  Also, keep in mind that there are no guarantees in seasonal climate outlooks.... our forecasts state there are increased odds (%) for precipitation, but certainly not assured.  See CPC's latest outlooks here:  http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/seasonal.php?lead=1