Southern California Drought and NOAA observations on El Nino
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NOAA and other weather prognosticators have been stating that the blocking ridge of high pressure that has been over most of California for now the sixth year is the key factor in this epic drought. There is now talk that this drought could become a ten plus year drought or even a "generational" drought, meaning a drought that could last twenty years or more. My wife and I live In Lake Arrowhead California and we have not had a winter here since 2010-11. We have a mass die off of trees up here in the San Bernardino forest as does most of southern California. We receive our water from a man made lake whose levels are at historic lows for this time of year and the lake has not been full in over five years. All of these anomalies and explanations really don't explain anything and the fact remains that southern California is in big trouble and a La Nina will only exacerbate this whole situation. The long range models show no rain for SOCAL through March and with it being February 26th with only two storms since December our rainy season has passed. It seems to me that this weather pattern could be the new normal for Southern California in which case if the drought persists for 2,3,4 years on we are looking at a catastrophe of epic proportions for those of us here in Southern California. For instance fire season here is now year round, we have been having warm Santa Ana wind events ALL winter which is just drying out the whole of SOCAL with no relief in sight. I think it's time we face the facts that El Nino for Southern California was a bust and start looking long term at what might possibly wipe out many of the inland communities here in Southern California as well as destroy our forests and lakes making many areas uninhabitable over the next two to three years due to lack of water.