By the time the Atlantic hurricane season gets underway, this El Nino is expected to be finished and there is a likelihood that cool-neutral or even La Nina conditions will exist. La Nina tends to increase hurricane activity. But we can't be sure La Nina will develop by August, September and October, the months of climatologically greatest hurricane activity. The greater chance is for the later months. In any case, the influence of ENSO during the fall 2016 season is likely to be in the direction of elevated hurricane activity. We cannot predict which states (such as Florida) would have a land-falling hurricane, but increased general activity implies a somewhat increased likelihood for any of the usual southeastern states receiving one.