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I think we saw the influence of El Nino more so at least here in the Southwest US back starting in May 2015. Above normal rainfall through southern California and southern Arizona.. and it was a modest monsoon season. The big El Nino event that was supposed to happen for the winter of 2016 never really materialized.. guessing based on the atmosphere not responding as it should to El Nino. Given neutral conditions expected across the Pacific I presume the weather pattern should be what passes for normal for most of North America. The only thing I think will be noticeable is early autumn cooler than normal storms and somewhat above normal precip for the western states. It is already becoming evident. Could this also mean an early winter ?