This is excellent, useful and clearly shown. Even more impressive would be to compete NOAA's models' forecasts with the predictions that dominated the news of a super monster Godzilla. Yours were far more accurate. Congratulations, especially for resisting the temptation to join the hysteria and get headlines. A second stage of this evaluation could be to show the effects of the El Niño. How did they compare with with typical weather and the two similar events on record? Previous entries here have said something like this is coming. It would provide useful information to us laypeople.