Hi-- as Emily pointed out, there is some tilt in the odds toward El Nino during later 2017.  We're not favoring this outcome at this point b/c we still have yet to get through the spring barrier when predictions are lower in skill.  So right now, we favor ENSO-neutral, but certainly, we need to keep our eyes on the tropical Pacific Ocean for signs we could go back into an El Nino (or even a La Nina!).