Nino 3 (by CPC/NOAA-Weekly Report) is up to +0.7K but i dont get to cause of this increase.. Depper ocean water is near normal: http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/tao/drupal/assorted_plots/images/TAO_5Day_EQ_xz.gif Trade winds are also near normal: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/intraseasonal/850u_tlon.shtml And weaker Winds are in coming: http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ventrice/real_time/timeLon/u.anom.30.5S-5N.gif In first place, where does the warming at the moment come from, if the important pattern say, its all near normal In second place, when forecast coming true, we a accept to see more and intens warming up to, maybe 1.5K in Nino 3?? complicated times at the moment..