Given the constant rainfall and temperatures in the mid-forties over the first two weeks of December here in Texas, as well as the warm and dry conditions spurning wildfires in the pacific northwest over the summer, fall and now into winter, how do you reconcile your forecast of a La Nina event for the fall and winter of 2017 and your forecast of the associated climate effects, including warmer and dryer conditions for the southern US and colder and wetter conditions for the northern US, with the current conditions on the ground? Is it possible that global weather changes caused by increasing CO2 levels now make nonsense of the science? Since the effects of a La Nina event are based on slight changes in averages over five consecutive seasons, is it possible that there are really no observed effects on the ground?