Reemergence of La Nina and New Mexico
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Hello: La Nina generally means below normal for NM, which is already absolutely parched. Here in Santa Fe, even with ENSO neutral conditions, the 2021 summer monsoon is basically once again (third year in a row) a nonsoon. NWS in Albuquerque keeps predicting high percentages of heavy rain for Santa Fe, but all the rain is going to the east and southeast of us or to AZ. El Nino is the event that usually brings rain and snow our way. Looks like no hope again for 2021-2022. Any thoughts whether an El Nino may emerge 2022-2023 based on historic data or are we permanently done in by man made climate change? Thanks.