One miss was the NMME forecast at 8/16 which predicted a drier than normal FY16/17 window. This La Nina will not be as strong as the La Nina last year with both the CFSv2 and CPC/IRI model showing a weak La Nina. One interesting development is the CFSv2 is projecting the Nino 1.2 region to be neutral this coming winter. Will this year's La Nina be less of a traditional La Nina and more centrally based and how will that impact weather patterns?