Thank you, Mohammad, for sharing your thoughts. I agree that volcanic eruptions potentially could impact ENSO - the science is not settled, but Tom covered this topic last year. However, I am not sure that the level of volcanic forcing this year is enough to tip the scales one way or the other. If we had a situation equivalent to, say, the Pinatubo eruption of 1991, then there certainly would be a strong pull to incorporate that forcing into our ENSO forecasts and to study its effects on our seasonal forecasts.