Good afternoon, everyone...

I am doing research for 2.25 yr Exploration of the North American Continent, starting in August-September of 2023.  The backbone of the Odyssey is the National Park system in the US & Canada.  I got to thinking about the possible weather and Climate, particularly of the South West & West.  I am from the North East.  Here, we've been getting a LOT of rain.  Not snow.  Rain.  It feels as if it is becoming very much like a Sub-Tropical zone than ever before.  So, this has me wondering what will be going on in the South West & West in Autumn of 2023 and into Spring-Summer of 2024.  I know there has been and continues to be severe Drought and many National Parks have been devastated by Wild Fires.  I've read the article and enjoyed it.  I will be following this blog going forward.  

So, typically at what point do you feel a high level of certainty that Autumn will yield a La Nina, ENSO-neutral or El Nino event trend?   And am I right in understanding that even if we get a La Nina in late 2022, she will most likely dissipate before Summer 2023 and then, hopefully we are in for a ENSO-neutral event for the reminder of 2023 and well into 2024?

Thanks for your input.  I appreciate your time.   I am curious to have some good idea of what kind of Climate....weather experience I will be having as I travel through the Lower States btw Autumn 2023 and into mid-2024.

Respectfully,

Callileah Rizzuto

j.cal.rizzuto@hotmail.com