Hi Emily and Thank you for the updates .

I have asked this very question several times since December 2021 about whether a triple lanina is likely in 2022/2023 winter -if you can retrieve my comments from previous forecasts -I have them in record anyways  .

The most recent ( triple laninas in a stretch )  event according to your previous forecasts was between 1971-1976 there were three laninas separated by one strong elnino during that span of time  . 

A pressing question comes up : what are the odds that we get moderate/strong laninas if a third lanina would occur next winter , it makes sense to my region because we have droughts since several decades  . and kindly when was the other  three lanina stretch  before 1970 , which years in particular if you may kindly help .  I am interested in the time-span between these evens although i believe we may have other three-dipped laninas before 1910 back to 1850 according to reconstructed thermal data . These consecutive lanina events may have some explanations , i am constantly wondering what may manifests them and truly interested in them from statistical point of view -as a statistician . 

Thank you so so much and apology for the long message . 

Warmest Jordanian Regards

Mohammad Alkhateeb