Hi Emiley & everyone .  Thank you very much for the updates . It  is clear from your updates and model  that the a 3rd Lanina impulse ( closer to be a weak Lanina ) is more  likely the incoming winter .

Do your agree the plausibility of of weak  next lanina in winter ? 

I have a another  quick question if you kindly have information whether the  Recent Honga Tonga VEI-6 eruption may have a concerted inter-play on the ocean thermal measurements . Evidence suggests that these substantive eruptions are key influencers on the ENSO and weather patterns . I understand very well that the effects of volcanoes may differ spatially and temporally from place to another but many recent evidence suggests that our current models do not account for them as ingredients in the models we use for predictions , the volcanic forcings are not included as predictors in those ENSO  predictive models in use today, are they ? . I believe that Not accounting for their effects on under-ocean and atmospheric levels may make our  future climate modelling and outlooks more hazy and difficult to surmise , Do you agree with me ? . 

Above all: Thank you and your team for the informative updates 

Warmest Jordanian Regards

Mohammad Alkhateeb