From Tropical Tidbits daily updates wrt values for the different Niño regions, Nino.4 has been warming since the beginning of June. As for now, the negative anomalies in Niño.4 and Niño 1+2 are roughly the same while Niño.3 have the least negative anomalies. For now, what are the odds of a developing Modoki La Niña? 

Cheers!