La Nina
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We are really concerned in California with the potential for another year of drought. The only real difference from last month is with the latest NMME 3.4 plot that came out early this week. NMME has scaled back 3.4 temps back to -1 from earlier runs whish showed a bit stronger La Nina temps around -1.3. This falls in line with the CFSv2 PDF corrected numbers. The ECMWF is forecasting a moderate El Nino next summer/fall although that is in the way too far to believe category although I would bet my money on that over a La Nina finally looks dead after this winter. Looks like the cold pool below the equator is continuing to dissipate over the coming months despite La Nina.