Analog Years
Thanks for the updates .
Regarding the analogy years analysis, the years 1975, 2011, 2008, 1956 and winter 1976 appear to have similar patterns of ENSO and the combination of other climatic combinations . Trying to do an snalog forecast yesterday I found it was helpful to dismiss the idea that we're through ab three consecutive LaNina because there are few triplet consecutive LaNinas, the autumn 1975 and it's ENSO transition into winter 1975 was coming to the surface with each analog models I proposed. So why don't we just dismiss the idea of three run LaNinas and focus on the transition by its natural course especially neutral and Nino conditions appear to be imminent . Heat waves in the northern Hemisphere this year may have latent effect to unleash in the coming two months .
Thank you again for your great efforts.
Warmest Jordanian Regards
Mohammad