I come from Jordan and we share one thing in common , that is forecast drought . All mediterranean-like climate regions ( Chile, Southwest Australia, Cape Town and Cape Canaveral, and California ) had been forecast to worsened drought this winter , but you may will find that Australian western provinces had hit above median precipitation thus by far, with few dry spots here and there  . Likewise for Chile and other south hemisphere  mediterranean climate spots .  This is an intuition from me and do not take it as infallible : probably because the computers used for forecasting do Not have sufficient historical data with similar analogous years they err with greater margin for now, especially we're transitioning through autumn with much weather variability .