I understand your frustration, as a snow lover in New Jersey who has not received any measurable snow so far this winter. However, I wouldn't start writing off the winter of 2023-24 just yet, regardless of how ENSO evolves! There are many factors beyond ENSO that can affect Wisconsin winters. And as this plot shows, the strongest El Ninos have brought warm winters to Wisconsin, but there have been a wide range of outcomes for all other El Nino.