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Great article and chat! Congratulations to all the team.

The million-dollar question is now when will occur the transition from ENSO neutral to El Nino. Models seem too optimistic for a more or less quick transition but it might not be so linear. It seems a bit contraditory that we say that El Nino can be predicted several months ahead but in fact that's not the case now. We need to wait for May to have more confidence in the forecasts. What do you think Michelle? Cheers