Michelle,

Is there any significance of the delta in ENSO magnitude from the recent winter to the incoming summer season?  Example, if February 2023 was -0.4C and the forecast for July 2023 is 1.1C , is that 1.5C delta significant in any way?  Most research appears to look at it from a static perspective, but maybe the change from one period to the next is equally if not more significant?