Many thanks for the great product. I had friends asking about the current El Nino and the forecast. I had given a rough answer (with some shoulder shrugging) and then had a look here and discovered I would have been quite mistaken. The high SSTs are changing the picture in a way I hadn't reckoned. Sooo ... I sent all my friends here. :)   Much better answer. Thanks again and keep up the great work. (Love your analogies ... bread dough, dancing, etc.)