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The likelihood that this coming winter resembles last winter depends on where you live, but I would say that it is unlikely that we will have a winter like last year in the U.S. (and many other global locations) overall. Last winter we were experiencing La Nina conditions, and as Tom reviewed last year, the U.S. climate anomalies resembled the expected La Nina impacts in many ways. This winter we are expecting El Nino conditions, and so most of the expected impacts are the reverse of that of La Nina. We also know that other less predictable factors will shape the coming winter, and there's no reason to expect that those more random factors will be the same as last year. 

So, stay tuned to CPC's seasonal outlooks, and check back in November when we have our annual Winter Outlook blog post.