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Loved the Pacific Ocean and Tropical Atmosphere bits!! Thanks!

In June 2003 I sailed from Panama to the Marquesas during what I now see was essentially a "neutral" period, right after an El Nino. We had a great trip with really nice tradewinds.

Now I am getting ready to make that trip again in early '24 - but I see generic effects of El Nino are weaker tradewinds on that route, or even headwinds. That would be bad, it's a long way on a small boat.

I know it's very specific, but how can I or should I connect the emerging El Nino data with the likelihood of good tradewinds for the trip. I could just wait until early '25.....