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Excellent article, but it's still a La Nina watch for 2024 /25. Not carved in stone just yet. We could have a weak El Nino for next winter, or a very weak La Nina, or maybe ENSO / neutral.

Comparing the El Nino event of 2016 with this years El Nino event is like night and day. The event in 2016 had a very strong impact on the Ohio valley, and the 2023 / 24 El Nino event had minimum impact.

 

Question : The 2016 El Nino event started in a very positive PDO. The 2023 / 24 event started in a negative PDO. I always learned and witness that the El Nino's in past years ( the ones listed in the article ) always started in a positive PDO. This is a major change in the climate, an El Nino starting and dying in a negative PDO. Could this be due to the long solar cycle we have been in the last several years ? The Sun is the major driver of our climate, not Man. Your thoughts please.

Thank you in advance,

Stephen S.