Short answer:  We don't know.  However, I can provide some insights that may be useful:  1) The biggest difference between dynamical and statistical models is that statistical models are trained on past historical data.  This is generally fine, but we're also mindful that the climate is changing.  2) The "initial condition" of a statistical models is usually based on the past monthly or seasonal average of data (June or April-June 2024).  Dynamical models are initialized up to the moment that they are run with the latest atmosphere-ocean conditions.  In general we find higher skill for dynamical models. With that said we also consider statistical model output when making our official forecasts.