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Hello there,

Thank you for the informative piece - I have learnt alot more on how periods can be classified into La Nina events, especially with the useful flowchart which helps us in understanding the train of though in classificaiton.

Could I just check, given that we have classified the current period as La Nina, will it eventually be shown on the following CPC website: https://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff… that is a La Nina event?

According the methodology, "By historical standards, to be classified as a full-fledged El Niño or La Niña episode, these thresholds must be exceeded for a period of at least 5 consecutive overlapping 3-month seasons." Therefore, will this event be reflected as a La Nina event eventually in the historical records, if we move into an ENSO-neutral before we see 5 consecutive overlapping 3-month seasons?

 

Thank you once again!